Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Utrecht (1,969) and Sparta Rotterdam (1,875).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utrecht
3-4-3- 20D. de Wit
- 10Y. Cathline
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 34D. van den Berg
- 8J. van Overeem
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
Sparta Rotterdam
4-1-4-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 6N. Verschuren
- 11I. Babadi
- 8J. Toornstra
- 16J. Baas
- 17C. Terho
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utrecht have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Utrecht wins, 2 draws, 2 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 3-3 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Utrecht 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| May 14, 2025 | Utrecht 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-4 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| May 23, 2024 | Utrecht 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utrecht sit 13th in Eredivisie (8 points from 8 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 14th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Galgenwaard, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.