RSD Alcalá vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares
The Footlab AI model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1. If RSD Alcalá wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Guadalajara?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate RSD Alcalá (1,864) and Guadalajara (1,892).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for RSD Alcalá vs Guadalajara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
RSD Alcalá
4-3-3- 10Izan
- 23I. Robledo
- 19N. Sanchez
- 11Javi Hernández
- 7J. Arribas
- 8S. Marcos
- 22D. Nieto
- 15Chete
- 4H. Torres
- 12M. Lopez
- 1I. Gil
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 12:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Guadalajara have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 1-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 4-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 RSD Alcalá wins, 0 draws, 1 Guadalajara win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guadalajara 2-1 RSD Alcalá | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara vs RSD Alcalá on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RSD Alcalá score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSD Alcalá | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RSD Alcalá sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 8 matches) and Guadalajara sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Guadalajara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | RSD Alcalá | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
A question about RSD Alcalá vs Guadalajara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs Guadalajara?
- The Footlab AI model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Guadalajara.
- Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs Guadalajara played?
- RSD Alcalá vs Guadalajara is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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