Match

Guadeloupe vs Bermuda: prediction and stats

CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 2Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)

GuadeloupeBermuda

The Footlab AI model makes Guadeloupe the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Bermuda. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guadeloupe vs Bermuda?

Guadeloupe starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,489 vs 1,347).

72%17%11%
Guadeloupe winDrawBermuda win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Guadeloupe vs Bermuda

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Guadeloupe

4-2-3-1
  1. 8A. Plumain
  1. 6A. Baron
  2. 7N. Cadiou
  3. 10M. Phaëton
  4. 18J. Leborgne
  5. 14K. Bevis
  1. 5N. Saintini
  2. 26Y. Maçon
  3. 4J. Roussillon
  4. 15D. Cavaré
  1. 23D. Rouyard

Bermuda

4-4-2
  1. 21X. Deroza
  2. 11D. Hill
  1. 10Z. Lewis
  2. 10Z. Lewis
  3. 13K. Martin
  4. 8D. Parfitt-Williams
  1. 3D. Cook
  2. 6J. Carpenter
  3. 4J. Dublin
  4. 2B. Morrison
  1. 1Milai Perott

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadeloupe have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bermuda have 2, 1 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guadeloupe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026St. Lucia(home)0-1CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 2, 2026St. Lucia(away)0-3CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 28, 2026Barbados(home)2-2CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 25, 2026Bermuda(away)2-1CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 24, 2025Guatemala(home)2-3CONCACAF Gold Cup
Bermuda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026Barbados(home)1-2CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 3, 2026Barbados(away)1-4CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 29, 2026St. Lucia(away)2-5CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 25, 2026Guadeloupe(home)1-2CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 6, 2026Cape Verde Islands(away)0-3Friendlies

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Guadeloupe win, 0 draws, 0 Bermuda wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 25, 2026Bermuda 1-2 GuadeloupeCONCACAF Nations League

Last archived meeting: Bermuda vs Guadeloupe on Sep 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guadeloupe score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bermuda score 1.1 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guadeloupe1.31.465/158/15
Bermuda1.12.917/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Guadeloupe vs Bermuda?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guadeloupe vs Bermuda?
The Footlab AI model makes Guadeloupe the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Bermuda.
Where and when is Guadeloupe vs Bermuda played?
Guadeloupe vs Bermuda is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the CONCACAF Nations League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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