Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, Nanning
The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Shenzhen Juniors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors?
Guangxi Hengchen starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,514 vs 1,395).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guangxi Hengchen have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Shenzhen Juniors have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(home) | 3-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 4-4 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nanjing City(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wuxi Wugou(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(away) | 0-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Guangxi Hengchen win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Shenzhen Juniors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors 1-1 Guangxi Hengchen | League One |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Guangxi Hengchen 2-2 Shenzhen Juniors | League Two |
| May 4, 2024 | Shenzhen Juniors 0-1 Guangxi Hengchen | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shenzhen Juniors score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangxi Hengchen | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 1.4 | 1.1 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th in League One (33 points from 19 matches) and Shenzhen Juniors sit 2nd (36 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 36 |
| 5 | Guangxi Hengchen | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors?
- The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Shenzhen Juniors.
- Where and when is Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors played?
- Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Dalian HuayivsChangchun Yatai
- Oct 10, 2026Suzhou DongwuvsHebei Kungfu
- Oct 10, 2026Meizhou KejiavsWuxi Wugou
- Oct 11, 2026Yanbian LongdingvsNantong Zhiyun
- Oct 11, 2026Shaanxi UnionvsDongguan United
- Oct 11, 2026Ningbo ProfessionalvsNanjing City
- Oct 11, 2026Guangzhou E-PowervsHeilongjiang Lava Spring