Match

Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, Nanning

Guangxi HengchenShenzhen Juniors

The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Shenzhen Juniors. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Guangxi Hengchen starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,514 vs 1,395).

Guangxi Hengchen win55 %
Draw22 %
Shenzhen Juniors win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guangxi Hengchen have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Shenzhen Juniors have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guangxi Hengchen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Suzhou Dongwu(home)3-3League One
Aug 15, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)1-0League One
Aug 9, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(away)0-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Ningbo Professional(away)4-2League One
Jul 26, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)4-4League One
Shenzhen Juniors
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nanjing City(home)3-1League One
Aug 16, 2026Ningbo Professional(home)0-0League One
Aug 9, 2026Yanbian Longding(away)1-0League One
Aug 2, 2026Wuxi Wugou(home)1-0League One
Jul 25, 2026Shaanxi Union(away)0-3League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Guangxi Hengchen win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Shenzhen Juniors win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Shenzhen Juniors 1-1 Guangxi HengchenLeague One
Jul 14, 2024Guangxi Hengchen 2-2 Shenzhen JuniorsLeague Two
May 4, 2024Shenzhen Juniors 0-1 Guangxi HengchenLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shenzhen Juniors score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guangxi Hengchen2.11.558/1510/15
Shenzhen Juniors1.41.195/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th in League One (33 points from 19 matches) and Shenzhen Juniors sit 2nd (36 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Shenzhen Juniors201064312236
5Guangxi Hengchen19964342433

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Shenzhen Juniors.
Where and when is Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors played?
Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Guangxi Hengchen and Shenzhen Juniors

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