Ningbo Professional vs Nanjing City: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ningbo Professional the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Nanjing City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ningbo Professional vs Nanjing City?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Ningbo Professional (1,384) and Nanjing City (1,316).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ningbo Professional have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Nanjing City have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(home) | 2-3 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(home) | 2-4 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(away) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ningbo Professional win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nanjing City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Nanjing City 1-2 Ningbo Professional | League One |
Last archived meeting: Nanjing City vs Ningbo Professional on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ningbo Professional score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nanjing City score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Professional | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Nanjing City | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ningbo Professional sit 7th in League One (25 points from 19 matches) and Nanjing City sit 12th (21 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ningbo Professional | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| 12 | Nanjing City | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ningbo Professional vs Nanjing City?
- The Footlab model makes Ningbo Professional the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Nanjing City.
- Where and when is Ningbo Professional vs Nanjing City played?
- Ningbo Professional vs Nanjing City is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Dalian HuayivsChangchun Yatai
- Oct 10, 2026Suzhou DongwuvsHebei Kungfu
- Oct 10, 2026Meizhou KejiavsWuxi Wugou
- Oct 11, 2026Yanbian LongdingvsNantong Zhiyun
- Oct 11, 2026Shaanxi UnionvsDongguan United
- Oct 11, 2026Guangxi HengchenvsShenzhen Juniors
- Oct 11, 2026Guangzhou E-PowervsHeilongjiang Lava Spring