Meizhou Kejia vs Wuxi Wugou: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, Wuhua
The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Meizhou Kejia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Meizhou Kejia vs Wuxi Wugou?
Wuxi Wugou starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,432 vs 1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Meizhou Kejia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Wuxi Wugou have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dongguan United(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dongguan United(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(away) | 5-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Meizhou Kejia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wuxi Wugou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Wuxi Wugou 1-1 Meizhou Kejia | League One |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Wuxi Wugou 1-0 Meizhou Kejia | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Wuxi Wugou vs Meizhou Kejia on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Meizhou Kejia score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Wuxi Wugou score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meizhou Kejia | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Wuxi Wugou | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Meizhou Kejia sit 15th in League One (11 points from 20 matches) and Wuxi Wugou sit 8th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 23 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 40 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Meizhou Kejia vs Wuxi Wugou?
- The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Meizhou Kejia.
- Where and when is Meizhou Kejia vs Wuxi Wugou played?
- Meizhou Kejia vs Wuxi Wugou is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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