Guangzhou E-Power vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Guangzhou E-Power the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Heilongjiang Lava Spring. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guangzhou E-Power vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Guangzhou E-Power starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,338).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guangzhou E-Power have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Heilongjiang Lava Spring have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(away) | 5-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wuxi Wugou(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dongguan United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nanjing City(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun(away) | 1-5 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(away) | 4-4 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Guangzhou E-Power win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1-3 Guangzhou E-Power | League One |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Guangzhou E-Power 0-1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring | League One |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1-1 Guangzhou E-Power | League One |
Last archived meeting: Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Guangzhou E-Power on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guangzhou E-Power score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heilongjiang Lava Spring score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou E-Power | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guangzhou E-Power sit 1st in League One (46 points from 20 matches) and Heilongjiang Lava Spring sit 10th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou E-Power | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 46 |
| 10 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 38 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guangzhou E-Power vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
- The Footlab model makes Guangzhou E-Power the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
- Where and when is Guangzhou E-Power vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring played?
- Guangzhou E-Power vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.