Match

Shaanxi Union vs Dongguan United: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Weinan Sports Center Stadium, Weinan

Shaanxi UnionDongguan United

The Footlab model makes Shaanxi Union the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Dongguan United. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shaanxi Union vs Dongguan United?

Shaanxi Union starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,413 vs 1,221).

Shaanxi Union win73 %
Draw17 %
Dongguan United win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shaanxi Union have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dongguan United have 0, 5 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shaanxi Union
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(away)1-4League One
Aug 14, 2026Changchun Yatai(home)2-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Hebei Kungfu(away)1-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Dalian Huayi(away)2-2League One
Jul 25, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(home)3-0League One
Dongguan United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)0-6League One
Aug 16, 2026Hebei Kungfu(home)1-2League One
Aug 8, 2026Meizhou Kejia(away)2-3League One
Aug 1, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(away)1-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Wuxi Wugou(home)0-2League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Shaanxi Union win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dongguan United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Dongguan United 0-5 Shaanxi UnionLeague One
Jul 26, 2025Shaanxi Union 3-1 Dongguan UnitedLeague One
Apr 6, 2025Dongguan United 2-1 Shaanxi UnionLeague One

Last archived meeting: Dongguan United vs Shaanxi Union on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shaanxi Union score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dongguan United score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shaanxi Union1.81.357/1511/15
Dongguan United0.92.309/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shaanxi Union sit 6th in League One (26 points from 19 matches) and Dongguan United sit 16th (11 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Shaanxi Union19757282126
16Dongguan United202513204311

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shaanxi Union vs Dongguan United?
The Footlab model makes Shaanxi Union the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Dongguan United.
Where and when is Shaanxi Union vs Dongguan United played?
Shaanxi Union vs Dongguan United is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Weinan Sports Center Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Shaanxi Union and Dongguan United

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