Match

Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Yanji

Yanbian LongdingNantong Zhiyun

The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Nantong Zhiyun. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Yanbian Longding (1,461) and Nantong Zhiyun (1,451).

Yanbian Longding win46 %
Draw29 %
Nantong Zhiyun win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yanbian Longding have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nantong Zhiyun have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yanbian Longding
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ningbo Professional(away)3-2League One
Aug 15, 2026Dalian Huayi(home)3-1League One
Aug 9, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(home)0-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Nanjing City(home)1-1League One
Jul 26, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)2-1League One
Nantong Zhiyun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Shaanxi Union(home)4-1League One
Aug 16, 2026Suzhou Dongwu(away)0-0League One
Aug 8, 2026Nanjing City(away)1-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)5-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Hebei Kungfu(away)1-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Yanbian Longding win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nantong Zhiyun win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Nantong Zhiyun 2-0 Yanbian LongdingLeague One
Nov 1, 2025Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Yanbian LongdingLeague One
Jun 29, 2025Yanbian Longding 1-0 Nantong ZhiyunLeague One

Last archived meeting: Nantong Zhiyun vs Yanbian Longding on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yanbian Longding score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nantong Zhiyun score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yanbian Longding1.71.139/157/15
Nantong Zhiyun1.40.969/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yanbian Longding sit 3rd in League One (35 points from 20 matches) and Nantong Zhiyun sit 4th (35 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Yanbian Longding20983301835
4Nantong Zhiyun19982251435

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun?
The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Nantong Zhiyun.
Where and when is Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun played?
Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun is played on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yanbian Longding and Nantong Zhiyun

Ready to know everything about football?