Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Yanji
The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Nantong Zhiyun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Yanbian Longding (1,461) and Nantong Zhiyun (1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yanbian Longding have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nantong Zhiyun have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nanjing City(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nanjing City(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(away) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Yanbian Longding win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nantong Zhiyun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun 2-0 Yanbian Longding | League One |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Yanbian Longding | League One |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Yanbian Longding 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun | League One |
Last archived meeting: Nantong Zhiyun vs Yanbian Longding on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yanbian Longding score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nantong Zhiyun score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanbian Longding | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yanbian Longding sit 3rd in League One (35 points from 20 matches) and Nantong Zhiyun sit 4th (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 35 |
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun?
- The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Nantong Zhiyun.
- Where and when is Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun played?
- Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun is played on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Suzhou DongwuvsHebei Kungfu
- Oct 10, 2026Dalian HuayivsChangchun Yatai
- Oct 10, 2026Meizhou KejiavsWuxi Wugou
- Oct 11, 2026Shaanxi UnionvsDongguan United
- Oct 11, 2026Ningbo ProfessionalvsNanjing City
- Oct 11, 2026Guangxi HengchenvsShenzhen Juniors
- Oct 11, 2026Guangzhou E-PowervsHeilongjiang Lava Spring