Match

Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, Nanning

Guangxi HengchenYanbian Longding

The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Yanbian Longding. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Guangxi Hengchen (1,514) and Yanbian Longding (1,461).

Guangxi Hengchen win40 %
Draw26 %
Yanbian Longding win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guangxi Hengchen have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Yanbian Longding have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guangxi Hengchen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Suzhou Dongwu(home)3-3League One
Aug 15, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)1-0League One
Aug 9, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(away)0-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Ningbo Professional(away)4-2League One
Jul 26, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)4-4League One
Yanbian Longding
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ningbo Professional(away)3-2League One
Aug 15, 2026Dalian Huayi(home)3-1League One
Aug 9, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(home)0-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Nanjing City(home)1-1League One
Jul 26, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)2-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Guangxi Hengchen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Yanbian Longding win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Yanbian Longding 1-1 Guangxi HengchenLeague One

Last archived meeting: Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Yanbian Longding score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guangxi Hengchen2.11.558/1510/15
Yanbian Longding1.71.139/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th in League One (33 points from 19 matches) and Yanbian Longding sit 3rd (35 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Yanbian Longding20983301835
5Guangxi Hengchen19964342433

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding?
The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Yanbian Longding.
Where and when is Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding played?
Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Guangxi Hengchen and Yanbian Longding

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