Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, Nanning
The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Yanbian Longding. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Guangxi Hengchen (1,514) and Yanbian Longding (1,461).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guangxi Hengchen have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Yanbian Longding have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(home) | 3-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 4-4 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nanjing City(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Guangxi Hengchen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Yanbian Longding win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yanbian Longding 1-1 Guangxi Hengchen | League One |
Last archived meeting: Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Yanbian Longding score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangxi Hengchen | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Yanbian Longding | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th in League One (33 points from 19 matches) and Yanbian Longding sit 3rd (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 35 |
| 5 | Guangxi Hengchen | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding?
- The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Yanbian Longding.
- Where and when is Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding played?
- Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Ningbo ProfessionalvsShaanxi Union
- Sep 12, 2026Suzhou DongwuvsDongguan United
- Sep 12, 2026Changchun YataivsHeilongjiang Lava Spring
- Sep 12, 2026Guangzhou E-PowervsDalian Huayi
- Sep 13, 2026Wuxi WugouvsNantong Zhiyun
- Sep 13, 2026Meizhou KejiavsNanjing City
- Sep 13, 2026Hebei KungfuvsShenzhen Juniors