Match

Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rugao Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Rugao

Nantong ZhiyunGuangxi Hengchen

The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Guangxi Hengchen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Nantong Zhiyun (1,451) and Guangxi Hengchen (1,514).

Nantong Zhiyun win42 %
Draw26 %
Guangxi Hengchen win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantong Zhiyun have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Guangxi Hengchen have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nantong Zhiyun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Shaanxi Union(home)4-1League One
Aug 16, 2026Suzhou Dongwu(away)0-0League One
Aug 8, 2026Nanjing City(away)1-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)5-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Hebei Kungfu(away)1-1League One
Guangxi Hengchen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Suzhou Dongwu(home)3-3League One
Aug 15, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)1-0League One
Aug 9, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(away)0-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Ningbo Professional(away)4-2League One
Jul 26, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)4-4League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Nantong Zhiyun win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Guangxi Hengchen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Guangxi Hengchen 0-0 Nantong ZhiyunLeague One

Last archived meeting: Guangxi Hengchen vs Nantong Zhiyun on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nantong Zhiyun score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nantong Zhiyun1.40.969/156/15
Guangxi Hengchen2.11.558/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nantong Zhiyun sit 4th in League One (35 points from 19 matches) and Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nantong Zhiyun19982251435
5Guangxi Hengchen19964342433

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen?
The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Guangxi Hengchen.
Where and when is Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen played?
Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen is played on September 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rugao Olympic Sports Center Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nantong Zhiyun and Guangxi Hengchen

Ready to know everything about football?