Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rugao Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Rugao
The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Guangxi Hengchen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Nantong Zhiyun (1,451) and Guangxi Hengchen (1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantong Zhiyun have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Guangxi Hengchen have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nanjing City(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(home) | 3-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 4-4 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Nantong Zhiyun win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Guangxi Hengchen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun | League One |
Last archived meeting: Guangxi Hengchen vs Nantong Zhiyun on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nantong Zhiyun score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantong Zhiyun | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nantong Zhiyun sit 4th in League One (35 points from 19 matches) and Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 5 | Guangxi Hengchen | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen?
- The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Guangxi Hengchen.
- Where and when is Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen played?
- Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen is played on September 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rugao Olympic Sports Center Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026Yanbian LongdingvsGuangzhou E-Power
- Sep 18, 2026Dalian HuayivsNingbo Professional
- Sep 19, 2026Shenzhen JuniorsvsChangchun Yatai
- Sep 19, 2026Shaanxi UnionvsSuzhou Dongwu
- Sep 19, 2026Heilongjiang Lava SpringvsDongguan United
- Sep 19, 2026Meizhou KejiavsHebei Kungfu
- Sep 19, 2026Nanjing CityvsWuxi Wugou