Meizhou Kejia vs Nanjing City: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, Wuhua
The Footlab model makes Nanjing City the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Meizhou Kejia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Meizhou Kejia vs Nanjing City?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Meizhou Kejia (1,306) and Nanjing City (1,326).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Meizhou Kejia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Nanjing City have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dongguan United(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(away) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Meizhou Kejia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nanjing City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nanjing City 2-0 Meizhou Kejia | League One |
| Sep 21, 2021 | Meizhou Kejia 4-2 Nanjing City | League One |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Nanjing City 1-2 Meizhou Kejia | League One |
Last archived meeting: Nanjing City vs Meizhou Kejia on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Meizhou Kejia score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nanjing City score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meizhou Kejia | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Nanjing City | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Meizhou Kejia sit 15th in League One (11 points from 20 matches) and Nanjing City sit 12th (21 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nanjing City | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 40 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Meizhou Kejia vs Nanjing City?
- The Footlab model makes Nanjing City the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Meizhou Kejia.
- Where and when is Meizhou Kejia vs Nanjing City played?
- Meizhou Kejia vs Nanjing City is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Changchun YataivsHeilongjiang Lava Spring
- Sep 12, 2026Ningbo ProfessionalvsShaanxi Union
- Sep 12, 2026Suzhou DongwuvsDongguan United
- Sep 12, 2026Guangzhou E-PowervsDalian Huayi
- Sep 12, 2026Guangxi HengchenvsYanbian Longding
- Sep 13, 2026Wuxi WugouvsNantong Zhiyun
- Sep 13, 2026Hebei KungfuvsShenzhen Juniors