Where and when is Suzhou Dongwu vs Dongguan United played?

Suzhou Dongwu vs Dongguan United is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Wujiang Stadium, in the League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Suzhou Dongwu vs Dongguan United: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Wujiang Stadium, Suzhou

Suzhou Dongwu

Dongguan United

The Footlab model makes Suzhou Dongwu the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Dongguan United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Suzhou Dongwu vs Dongguan United?

Suzhou Dongwu starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,345 vs 1,221).

Suzhou Dongwu win55 %

Draw25 %

Dongguan United win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Suzhou Dongwu have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Dongguan United have 0, 5 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Suzhou Dongwu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Guangxi Hengchen(away)	3-3	League One
Aug 16, 2026	Nantong Zhiyun(home)	0-0	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Changchun Yatai(home)	2-1	League One
Aug 2, 2026	Meizhou Kejia(home)	1-0	League One
Jul 26, 2026	Dalian Huayi(away)	0-0	League One

Dongguan United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Changchun Yatai(away)	0-6	League One
Aug 16, 2026	Hebei Kungfu(home)	1-2	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Meizhou Kejia(away)	2-3	League One
Aug 1, 2026	Guangzhou E-Power(away)	1-1	League One
Jul 25, 2026	Wuxi Wugou(home)	0-2	League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Suzhou Dongwu win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dongguan United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Dongguan United 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu	League One
Jul 19, 2025	Suzhou Dongwu 0-1 Dongguan United	League One
Mar 30, 2025	Dongguan United 0-2 Suzhou Dongwu	League One
Aug 17, 2024	Dongguan United 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu	League One
Mar 31, 2024	Suzhou Dongwu 3-0 Dongguan United	League One
Oct 9, 2023	Suzhou Dongwu 1-2 Dongguan United	League One

Last archived meeting: Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Suzhou Dongwu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dongguan United score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Suzhou Dongwu	1.1	1.5	5	9/15	8/15
Dongguan United	0.9	2.3	0	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Suzhou Dongwu sit 14th in League One (16 points from 20 matches) and Dongguan United sit 16th (11 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Suzhou Dongwu	20	4	7	9	17	26	16
16	Dongguan United	20	2	5	13	20	43	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Suzhou Dongwu vs Dongguan United?: The Footlab model makes Suzhou Dongwu the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Dongguan United.
Where and when is Suzhou Dongwu vs Dongguan United played?: Suzhou Dongwu vs Dongguan United is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Wujiang Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.