Wuxi Wugou vs Nantong Zhiyun: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Wuxi Sports Center, Wuxi
The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Nantong Zhiyun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wuxi Wugou vs Nantong Zhiyun?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Wuxi Wugou (1,432) and Nantong Zhiyun (1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wuxi Wugou have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Nantong Zhiyun have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dongguan United(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(away) | 5-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nanjing City(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(away) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wuxi Wugou win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nantong Zhiyun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 Wuxi Wugou | League One |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Wuxi Wugou 2-0 Nantong Zhiyun | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuxi Wugou on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wuxi Wugou score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nantong Zhiyun score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuxi Wugou | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wuxi Wugou sit 8th in League One (23 points from 18 matches) and Nantong Zhiyun sit 4th (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wuxi Wugou vs Nantong Zhiyun?
- The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Nantong Zhiyun.
- Where and when is Wuxi Wugou vs Nantong Zhiyun played?
- Wuxi Wugou vs Nantong Zhiyun is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Wuxi Sports Center, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Changchun YataivsHeilongjiang Lava Spring
- Sep 12, 2026Ningbo ProfessionalvsShaanxi Union
- Sep 12, 2026Suzhou DongwuvsDongguan United
- Sep 12, 2026Guangzhou E-PowervsDalian Huayi
- Sep 12, 2026Guangxi HengchenvsYanbian Longding
- Sep 13, 2026Meizhou KejiavsNanjing City
- Sep 13, 2026Hebei KungfuvsShenzhen Juniors