Where and when is Guerreros vs Héroes de Zaci played?

Guerreros vs Héroes de Zaci is played on October 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Guerreros vs Héroes de Zaci: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroe de Nacozari

Guerreros

Héroes de Zaci

The Footlab model makes Guerreros the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guerreros vs Héroes de Zaci?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Guerreros (1,824) and Héroes de Zaci (1,810).

Guerreros win57 %

Draw22 %

Héroes de Zaci win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guerreros have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Héroes de Zaci have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guerreros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(away)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Tritons Vallarta(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Colima(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Leones Negros(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Los Cabos United(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A

Héroes de Zaci
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 10, 2026	Montañeses(home)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Neza(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026	Cañoneros Marina(away)	0-5	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(away)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 13, 2026	Celaya(home)	3-2	Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Guerreros	1.2	1.4	2	9/15	8/15
Héroes de Zaci	1.2	2.3	3	5/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guerreros sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (32 points from 26 matches) and Héroes de Zaci sit 9th (34 points from 24 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Guerreros	26	8	5	13	38	42	32
9	Héroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33	46	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guerreros vs Héroes de Zaci?: The Footlab model makes Guerreros the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Héroes de Zaci.
Where and when is Guerreros vs Héroes de Zaci played?: Guerreros vs Héroes de Zaci is played on October 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.