Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
The Footlab AI model makes Guimaraes the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guimaraes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,474 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Guimaraes (2,106) and GIL Vicente (2,094).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guimaraes
4-2-3-1- 9A. Jakupovic
- 7O. Camara
- 20Samu
- 8Gonçalo Nogueira
- 11Gustavo
- 16Beni
- 13João Mendes
- 23T. Strata
- 21T. Borevković
- 5A. Sidibé
- 98Lucas Furtado
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 9Walace
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 10Santi García
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 7T. Touré
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 45David Moreira
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 30Lucão
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; GIL Vicente have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 5-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Recreativa de Lamelas(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-4 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 19, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Guimaraes wins, 2 draws, 0 GIL Vicente wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | GIL Vicente 0-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | GIL Vicente 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Guimaraes 0-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 11, 2025 | GIL Vicente 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Guimaraes 4-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Guimaraes 3-1 GIL Vicente | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes on Nov 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 13th in Primeira Liga (9 points from 10 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 13 | Guimaraes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guimaraes the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente played?
- Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.