GIL Vicente vs Santa Clara: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
The Footlab model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Santa Clara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Santa Clara?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate GIL Vicente (2,058) and Santa Clara (2,068).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GIL Vicente have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Santa Clara have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 GIL Vicente win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Santa Clara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Santa Clara 1-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 3, 2025 | GIL Vicente 1-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | GIL Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Santa Clara 2-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| May 6, 2023 | Santa Clara 3-2 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 29, 2022 | GIL Vicente 1-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GIL Vicente score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Clara score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Santa Clara | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GIL Vicente sit 5th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Santa Clara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Santa Clara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | GIL Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GIL Vicente vs Santa Clara?
- The Footlab model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Santa Clara.
- Where and when is GIL Vicente vs Santa Clara played?
- GIL Vicente vs Santa Clara is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.