Guinea vs Kenya: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
Full time
What was the result of Guinea vs Kenya?
Guinea won 1-0 on October 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 32′S. GuirassyGuinea
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Guinea win at 58%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Guinea vs Kenya
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guinea
4-2-3-1- 9S. Guirassy
- 11Y. Diaby
- 8A. Traoré
- 10A. Balde
- 15S. Cissé
- 19Ousmane Diabate
- 21S. Sylla
- 3A. Keita
- 5Mohamed Soumah
- 6I. Fofana
- 22M. Camara
Kenya
4-2-3-1- 22M. Obiero
- 7mohammed bajaber
- 24Ben Stanley Omondi
- 19J. Ochieng
- 8Duke Ooga Abuya
- 12C. Erambo
- 20M. Okwaro
- 5F. Odhiambo
- 4M. Kibwage
- 16R. Onyango
- 23B. Odhiambo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guinea have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kenya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Africa(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Benin(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Togo(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Niger(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eritrea(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Lesotho(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Lesotho(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Grenada(away) | 3-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Estonia(home) | 1-1 | FIFA Series |
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kenya score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Kenya | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guinea sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Kenya sit 4th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Kenya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Guinea vs Kenya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy