IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Borås Arena, Borås
The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Halmstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad?
IF Elfsborg starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Elfsborg have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Halmstad have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Västra Frölunda(away) | 4-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 17, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gais(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 IF Elfsborg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Halmstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Halmstad 1-1 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 24, 2025 | IF Elfsborg 1-2 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| May 25, 2025 | Halmstad 1-4 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Halmstad 0-1 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| May 24, 2024 | IF Elfsborg 2-0 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 22, 2024 | IF Elfsborg 4-0 Halmstad | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Halmstad vs IF Elfsborg on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Elfsborg score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Halmstad score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Halmstad | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Elfsborg sit 4th in Allsvenskan (28 points from 18 matches) and Halmstad sit 16th (8 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 28 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad?
- The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Halmstad.
- Where and when is IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad played?
- IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad is played on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Borås Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.