Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hitachi Energy Arena, Västerås
The Footlab model makes Vasteras SK FK the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Malmo FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Vasteras SK FK (1,798) and Malmo FF (1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasteras SK FK have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Malmo FF have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Enköping(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 0-6 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Vasteras SK FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Malmo FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Malmo FF 2-3 Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Malmo FF 3-0 Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Malmo FF 1-0 Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Malmo FF 1-2 Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK FK on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vasteras SK FK score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malmo FF score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK FK | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Malmo FF | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasteras SK FK sit 8th in Allsvenskan (26 points from 18 matches) and Malmo FF sit 7th (26 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF?
- The Footlab model makes Vasteras SK FK the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Malmo FF.
- Where and when is Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF played?
- Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hitachi Energy Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.