Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Briskeby Arena, Hamar
The Footlab model makes Ham-Kam the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sarpsborg 08 FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Ham-Kam (1,944) and Sarpsborg 08 FF (1,967).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ham-Kam have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sarpsborg 08 FF have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trysil FK(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brann(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aalesund(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Sarpsborg(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viking(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Molde(away) | 3-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ham-Kam win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Sarpsborg 08 FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-2 Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 3-2 Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ham-Kam 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| May 11, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ham-Kam score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ham-Kam sit 10th in Eliteserien (22 points from 17 matches) and Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th (22 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 30 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
- The Footlab model makes Ham-Kam the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
- Where and when is Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF played?
- Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Briskeby Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.