Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Briskeby Arena, Hamar
The Footlab AI model makes Ham-Kam the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sarpsborg 08 FF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ham-Kam wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Ham-Kam (1,953) and Sarpsborg 08 FF (1,987).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ham-Kam
5-3-2- 18Duarte Moreira
- 24D. Al-Saed
- 14L. Mares
- 26P. Metcalfe
- 8M. Johnsgård
- 22S. Nilsen
- 23F. Sjølstad
- 2M. Gjone
- 5A. Andresen
- 3E. Amundsen-Day
- 12M. Sandberg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2- 11D. Karlsbakk
- 33A. Nibe
- 8S. Christiansen
- 77O. Skarsem
- 10S. Sørli
- 6A. Sher
- 4B. Utvik
- 2M. Lode
- 12C. Niyukuri
- 21A. Hiim
- 87L. Øy
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ham-Kam have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sarpsborg 08 FF have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Start(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tromso(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kjelsås(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Molde(home) | 1-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 0-4 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Follo(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 18, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 1-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ham-Kam wins, 1 draw, 5 Sarpsborg 08 FF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-2 Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 3-2 Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ham-Kam 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| May 11, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ham-Kam score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ham-Kam sit 11th in Eliteserien (26 points from 22 matches) and Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th (28 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 28 |
| 11 | Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 46 | 26 |
A question about Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ham-Kam the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
- Where and when is Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF played?
- Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Briskeby Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.