Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Briskeby Arena, Hamar
The Footlab AI model makes Ham-Kam the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Fredrikstad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ham-Kam wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Ham-Kam (1,933) and Fredrikstad (1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ham-Kam
5-3-2- 18Duarte Moreira
- 24D. Al-Saed
- 14L. Mares
- 26P. Metcalfe
- 8M. Johnsgård
- 22S. Nilsen
- 23F. Sjølstad
- 2M. Gjone
- 5A. Andresen
- 3E. Amundsen-Day
- 12M. Sandberg
Fredrikstad
3-4-3- 23H. Skogvold
- 18B. Fiabema
- 7B. Thoresen
- 16D. Eid
- 14M. Nilsson
- 6S. Leach Holm
- 13S. Sørløkk
- 4F. Holmé
- 28S. Owusu
- 38I. Amundsen
- 77M. Børsheim
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ham-Kam have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fredrikstad have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Start(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tromso(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kjelsås(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Molde(home) | 1-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 0-4 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ham-Kam wins, 2 draws, 4 Fredrikstad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Fredrikstad 2-1 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Fredrikstad 1-1 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Ham-Kam 1-1 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Ham-Kam 0-1 Fredrikstad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Fredrikstad 1-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Ham-Kam 0-1 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Fredrikstad vs Ham-Kam on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ham-Kam score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fredrikstad score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Fredrikstad | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ham-Kam sit 11th in Eliteserien (26 points from 22 matches) and Fredrikstad sit 8th (29 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | 29 |
| 11 | Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 46 | 26 |
A question about Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ham-Kam the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Fredrikstad.
- Where and when is Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad played?
- Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Briskeby Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.