Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
The Footlab AI model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Lillestrom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarpsborg 08 FF wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sarpsborg 08 FF (1,996) and Lillestrom (2,047).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2- 11D. Karlsbakk
- 33A. Nibe
- 8S. Christiansen
- 77O. Skarsem
- 10S. Sørli
- 6A. Sher
- 4B. Utvik
- 2M. Lode
- 12C. Niyukuri
- 21A. Hiim
- 87L. Øy
Lillestrom
4-1-4-1- 10T. Lehne Olsen
- 20Vá
- 14G. Nyheim
- 22D. Bassi
- 21F. Ottosson
- 17E. Kitolano
- 2L. Ranger
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 11F. Elkær
- 5S. Foss
- 12P. Dahlberg
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarpsborg 08 FF have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lillestrom have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Follo(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 18, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 1-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sarpsborg 08 FF wins, 1 draw, 2 Lillestrom wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Lillestrom 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Lillestrom 3-1 Sarpsborg 08 FF | NM Cupen |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| May 5, 2024 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 3-1 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| May 16, 2023 | Lillestrom 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 FF on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lillestrom score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lillestrom | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th in Eliteserien (28 points from 22 matches) and Lillestrom sit 6th (33 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 31 | 33 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 28 |
A question about Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Lillestrom.
- Where and when is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom played?
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sarpsborg Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.