Lillestrom vs Aalesund: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller
The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Aalesund. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Aalesund?
On Elo ratings, Lillestrom has 2,046 points and Aalesund 1,971.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lillestrom vs Aalesund
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lillestrom
4-1-4-1- 10T. Lehne Olsen
- 20Vá
- 14G. Nyheim
- 22D. Bassi
- 21F. Ottosson
- 17E. Kitolano
- 2L. Ranger
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 11F. Elkær
- 5S. Foss
- 12P. Dahlberg
Aalesund
5-3-2- 27H. M. Reed
- 8I. Skotheim
- 18E. Hagen
- 21M. Christensen
- 19S. Kartum
- 14U. Charles
- 7K. Nessø
- 28D. Mbacke
- 3Ó. Guðmundsson
- 2M. Andresen
- 1Luca Podlech
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillestrom have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Aalesund have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 4-1 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Molde(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Førde(away) | 4-3 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lillestrom wins, 2 draws, 1 Aalesund win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Aalesund 1-3 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Lillestrom 5-1 Aalesund | 1. Division |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Aalesund 2-2 Lillestrom | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Aalesund 1-1 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Lillestrom 5-1 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Aalesund 2-1 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Aalesund vs Lillestrom on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lillestrom score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aalesund score 2.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Aalesund | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lillestrom sit 6th in Eliteserien (33 points from 22 matches) and Aalesund sit 13th (24 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 31 | 33 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 51 | 24 |
A question about Lillestrom vs Aalesund?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Aalesund?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Aalesund.
- Where and when is Lillestrom vs Aalesund played?
- Lillestrom vs Aalesund is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Åråsen Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.