Match

Inverness CT vs Montrose: prediction and stats

Challenge CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness

Inverness CTMontrose

The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Montrose. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,677 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Inverness CT vs Montrose?

Inverness CT starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,558).

61%20%19%
Inverness CT winDrawMontrose win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Inverness CT vs Montrose

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Inverness CT

4-2-3-1
  1. 9L. Stewart
  1. 7P. Allan
  2. 35A. Stewart
  3. 17L. Sole
  4. 8A. Mackinnon
  5. 26R. MacGregor
  1. 4G. Shinnie
  2. 5Remmi Eugene Savage
  3. 2C. Macleod
  4. 15K. Smith
  1. 1R. Munro

Montrose

4-4-1-1
  1. 16J. Sutherland
  1. 19G. Oliver
  2. 8J. Barjonas
  3. 12K. Freeman
  4. 6S. Byrne
  5. 11B. Lyons
  1. 5S. McGinty
  2. 4A. Quinn
  3. 3F. Duffy
  4. 2R. Williamson
  1. 1C. Gill

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:28 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverness CT have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Montrose have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Inverness CT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Raith Rovers(away)2-0Championship
Oct 17, 2026Arbroath(home)2-0Championship
Oct 13, 2026Queen's Park(away)1-2Championship
Oct 10, 2026Stenhousemuir(home)2-0Championship
Sep 25, 2026Morton(home)2-0Championship
Montrose
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Peterhead(home)3-0League One
Oct 17, 2026East Kilbride(away)1-1League One
Oct 13, 2026Dundee United II(home)2-1Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Ross County(home)0-5League One
Oct 3, 2026Airdrie United(away)0-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inverness CT wins, 1 draw, 1 Montrose win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Inverness CT 3-1 MontroseLeague One
Dec 27, 2025Montrose 2-1 Inverness CTLeague One
Nov 1, 2025Inverness CT 1-0 MontroseLeague One
Aug 23, 2025Montrose 0-2 Inverness CTLeague One
May 3, 2025Montrose 0-2 Inverness CTLeague One
Mar 1, 2025Inverness CT 1-1 MontroseLeague One

Last archived meeting: Inverness CT vs Montrose on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Montrose score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Inverness CT1.31.186/155/15
Montrose1.81.448/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Inverness CT vs Montrose?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Inverness CT vs Montrose?
The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Montrose.
Where and when is Inverness CT vs Montrose played?
Inverness CT vs Montrose is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Inverness CT and Montrose

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