Match

Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers: prediction and stats

Challenge CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)ZLX Stadium, Hamilton

Hamilton AcademicalRaith Rovers

The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Raith Rovers. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

On Elo ratings, Hamilton Academical has 1,697 points and Raith Rovers 1,717.

56%21%23%
Hamilton Academical winDrawRaith Rovers win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hamilton Academical

4-3-3
  1. 27S. McKinstry
  2. 29A. Ryan
  3. 7D. Thomas
  1. 6C. Blues
  2. 17S. Bannigan
  3. 8K. MacDonald
  1. 33S. Hendrie
  2. 2A. Comrie
  3. 3T. Gallacher
  4. 5F. Owens
  1. 1D. Lyness

Raith Rovers

4-2-3-1
  1. 9G. Oakley
  1. 15S. Tiffoney
  2. 7A. Lyall
  3. 20S. Brown
  4. 8K. Turner
  5. 25K. Montagu
  1. 4P. Hanlon
  2. 2J. Rowe
  3. 6J. Baird
  4. 3Z. Delaney
  1. 1J. Rae

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 04:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamilton Academical have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Raith Rovers have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamilton Academical
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Ross County(away)1-1League One
Oct 24, 2026East Fife(home)2-1League One
Oct 17, 2026Airdrie United(away)2-1League One
Oct 13, 2026Gala Fairydean Rovers(away)2-0Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Alloa Athletic(away)3-0League One
Raith Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Inverness CT(home)0-2Championship
Oct 17, 2026Stenhousemuir(away)1-1Championship
Oct 10, 2026Queen's Park(home)2-0Championship
Oct 3, 2026Morton(away)2-1Championship
Sep 25, 2026Livingston(home)0-2Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hamilton Academical wins, 2 draws, 4 Raith Rovers wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Hamilton Academical 1-1 Raith RoversLeague Cup
Dec 9, 2025Raith Rovers 5-2 Hamilton AcademicalChallenge Cup
Mar 29, 2025Hamilton Academical 0-3 Raith RoversChampionship
Feb 22, 2025Raith Rovers 2-0 Hamilton AcademicalChampionship
Jan 28, 2025Hamilton Academical 0-3 Raith RoversChampionship
Sep 21, 2024Raith Rovers 3-3 Hamilton AcademicalChampionship

Last archived meeting: Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers on Jul 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamilton Academical score 2.0 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Raith Rovers score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamilton Academical2.00.495/158/15
Raith Rovers1.20.765/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?
The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Raith Rovers.
Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers played?
Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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