Hanworth Villa vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rectory Meadow, Hanworth, Middlesex
The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Gloucester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hanworth Villa vs Gloucester City?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Hanworth Villa (1,848) and Gloucester City (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanworth Villa have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanworth Villa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hanworth Villa sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern South (9 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hanworth Villa vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Gloucester City.
- Where and when is Hanworth Villa vs Gloucester City played?
- Hanworth Villa vs Gloucester City is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rectory Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Taunton TownvsHanwell Town
- Oct 10, 2026Frome TownvsSholing
- Oct 10, 2026UxbridgevsEvesham United
- Oct 10, 2026Basingstoke TownvsMalvern Town
- Oct 10, 2026Chertsey TownvsChippenham Town
- Oct 10, 2026Chichester CityvsPlymouth Parkway
- Oct 10, 2026Poole TownvsBracknell Town
- Oct 10, 2026Wimborne TownvsHavant & Wville