Where and when is Hanworth Villa vs Yate Town played?

Hanworth Villa vs Yate Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rectory Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hanworth Villa vs Yate Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rectory Meadow, Hanworth, Middlesex

Hanworth Villa

Yate Town

The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hanworth Villa vs Yate Town?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Hanworth Villa (1,848) and Yate Town (1,778).

Hanworth Villa win54 %

Draw23 %

Yate Town win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanworth Villa have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hanworth Villa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Evesham United(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Bath City(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 12, 2026	Gosport Borough(away)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Taunton Town(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 21, 2026	Kingstonian(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Yate Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bracknell Town(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Chippenham Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Gosport Borough(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026	Leamington(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hanworth Villa	1.7	0.7	6	7/15	6/15
Yate Town	1.5	1.1	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hanworth Villa sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern South (9 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Hanworth Villa	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
4	Yate Town	4	2	2	0	5	3	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hanworth Villa vs Yate Town?: The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Yate Town.
Where and when is Hanworth Villa vs Yate Town played?: Hanworth Villa vs Yate Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rectory Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.