Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, Beit She'an
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beit Shean have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean 0-1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 2-2 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th in Liga Alef (32 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th (33 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel played?
- Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsTira
- Oct 19, 2026Ironi NeshervsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsBeitar Nahariya
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Oct 19, 2026Tzeirey TamravsIroni Baka El Garbiya