Where and when is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Nazareth Illit

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win37 %

Draw27 %

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 25, 2026	Hapoel Acre(home)	2-2	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Ironi Modi'in(home)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	1-2	Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026	Kafr Qasim(away)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)	1-0	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)	1-3	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)	3-0	Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	7/15
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	1.1	1.3	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	29	25	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
Where and when is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?: Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.