Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya played?

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Beitar Nahariya

The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya?

Beitar Nahariya starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,521).

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win26 %

Draw25 %

Beitar Nahariya win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Beitar Nahariya have 9, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 19, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	0-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Ironi Nesher(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)	1-2	Liga Alef

Beitar Nahariya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 13, 2024	Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home)	4-0	State Cup
Jan 9, 2024	Dimona(home)	1-6	State Cup
Dec 26, 2023	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home)	1-0	State Cup
Sep 18, 2023	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)	4-2	State Cup
Sep 13, 2023	Ahli Tamra(home)	3-1	State Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	0.6	1.9	1	7/15	6/15
Beitar Nahariya	2.2	2.4	6	7/14	10/14

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	16	42	12

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya?: The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya played?: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.