Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 2-1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | Liga Alef |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0-1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | Liga Alef |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0-1 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th (21 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
- Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba played?
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsTira
- Oct 19, 2026Ironi NeshervsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsBeitar Nahariya
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Oct 19, 2026Tzeirey TamravsIroni Baka El Garbiya