Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Ironi Nesher win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 2-1 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Ironi Nesher 1-1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Ironi Nesher 1-3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-1 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Ironi Nesher 1-3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Ironi Nesher on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsTira
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsBeitar Nahariya
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Oct 19, 2026Tzeirey TamravsIroni Baka El Garbiya