Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, Beit She'an
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Hapoel Beit Shean starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,653 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beit Shean have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Hapoel Beit Shean 0-3 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Beit Shean on Feb 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th in Liga Alef (32 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
- Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Jan 9, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Jan 9, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Jan 9, 2027TiravsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Jan 9, 2027Tzeirey TamravsIroni Nesher
- Jan 9, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Bnei Musmus