Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Migdal HaEmek
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,711) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0-0 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 3-0 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2-2 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik played?
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Jan 9, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Jan 9, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Jan 9, 2027TiravsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Jan 9, 2027Tzeirey TamravsIroni Nesher
- Jan 9, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Bnei Musmus