Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus played?

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697).

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win33 %

Draw27 %

Hapoel Bnei Musmus win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)	1-0	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)	1-3	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)	3-0	Liga Alef

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)	2-0	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	0-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)	3-2	Liga Alef
Jan 24, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(home)	2-1	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 6, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2-2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	Liga Alef
Jan 25, 2025	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus	Liga Alef
Sep 3, 2022	Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	State Cup

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Jan 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	1.1	1.3	3	10/15	9/15
Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	28	28	33
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	29	25	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus played?: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.