Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,702) and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 3-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 4-1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | Liga Alef |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 3-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan.
- Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan played?
- Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Jan 9, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Jan 9, 2027TiravsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Jan 9, 2027Tzeirey TamravsIroni Nesher
- Jan 9, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Bnei Musmus