Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1-2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1-2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2-0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th in Liga Alef (21 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek played?
- Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsTzeirey Tamra
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 30, 2026Ironi NeshervsBeitar Nahariya
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsTira
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsIroni Baka El Garbiya