Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | Liga Alef |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0-2 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Feb 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
- Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik played?
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsTzeirey Tamra
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 30, 2026Ironi NeshervsBeitar Nahariya
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsTira
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Migdal HaEmek