Ironi Nesher vs Beitar Nahariya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Beitar Nahariya?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,630) and Beitar Nahariya (1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Beitar Nahariya have 9, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home) | 4-0 | State Cup |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Dimona(home) | 1-6 | State Cup |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-0 | State Cup |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Ahli Tamra(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ironi Nesher win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Beitar Nahariya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2018 | Ironi Nesher 6-4 Beitar Nahariya | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Beitar Nahariya on Oct 2, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Beitar Nahariya | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6 | 7/14 | 10/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Beitar Nahariya?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Nahariya the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Beitar Nahariya played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Beitar Nahariya is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsTzeirey Tamra
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsTira
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Migdal HaEmek