Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Tamra: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Tamra?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tzeirey Tamra have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tzeirey Tamra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2-1 Tzeirey Tamra | Liga Alef |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Tzeirey Tamra 3-2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Tamra on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Tamra?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Tzeirey Tamra.
- Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Tamra played?
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Tamra is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Dec 26, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Beit Shean
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsTira
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm