Match

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Athos Haifa Lot 1, Haifa

Maccabi Neve Sha'ananHapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (1,674) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660).

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win40 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Nazareth Illit win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home)3-5Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away)1-4Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home)0-0Liga Alef
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)2-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)1-2Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026Kafr Qasim(away)1-1Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)0-2Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan1.61.5410/159/15
Hapoel Nazareth Illit1.31.739/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Maccabi Neve Sha'anan221066342936

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where and when is Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Athos Haifa Lot 1, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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