Where and when is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (1,521).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win48 %

Draw25 %

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2026	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	2-3	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)	1-0	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(away)	4-2	Liga Alef

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 19, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	0-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Ironi Nesher(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)	1-2	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 5, 2025	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2-0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Nov 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1.4	1.7	4	7/15	9/15
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	0.6	1.9	1	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th in Liga Alef (11 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	16	42	12
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	30	37	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Where and when is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.