Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tira: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Migdal HaEmek
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tira?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,711) and Tira (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tira have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-1 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 3-0 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Tira 4-2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Tira 0-1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-2 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Apr 20, 2023 | Tira 4-5 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tira on Dec 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Tira sit 2nd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tira?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tira played?
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tira is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Dec 26, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Beit Shean
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsTzeirey Tamra
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm