Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Beit Shean: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,612) and Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Beit Shean have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ironi Nesher win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Ironi Nesher 2-3 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Ironi Nesher 1-1 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Hapoel Beit Shean 3-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Beit Shean on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Beit Shean played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Beit Shean is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsTzeirey Tamra
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsTira
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm