Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Hapoel Hadera (1,628) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Hadera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 5, 2027DimonavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Sderot
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Feb 5, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsKfar Saba 1928
- Feb 6, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Yavne
- Feb 6, 2027FC JerusalemvsTzeirey Tira