Match

Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya

Hapoel HaderaNordia Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Hapoel Hadera (1,628) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).

Hapoel Hadera win37 %
Draw26 %
Nordia Jerusalem win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Hadera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Hadera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)1-6Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Hapoel Acre(away)0-0Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(home)3-3Liga Leumit
May 8, 2026Hapoel Afula(home)1-1Liga Leumit
May 5, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)1-0Liga Leumit
Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Hadera1.12.2210/1510/15
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Nordia Jerusalem.
Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
Hapoel Hadera vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Hadera and Nordia Jerusalem

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