Match

Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem

Nordia JerusalemHapoel Hadera

The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Hadera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,644) and Hapoel Hadera (1,645).

Nordia Jerusalem win38 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Hadera win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Hadera have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef
Hapoel Hadera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)1-6Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Hapoel Acre(away)0-0Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(home)3-3Liga Leumit
May 8, 2026Hapoel Afula(home)1-1Liga Leumit
May 5, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)1-0Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15
Hapoel Hadera1.12.2210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera?
The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Hadera.
Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera played?
Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nordia Jerusalem and Hapoel Hadera

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