Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 22Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-4 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya on Nov 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on February 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 5, 2027DimonavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Sderot
- Feb 5, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsKfar Saba 1928
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel HaderavsNordia Jerusalem
- Feb 6, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Yavne
- Feb 6, 2027FC JerusalemvsTzeirey Tira