Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 22Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 5-3 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-4 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-3 Maccabi Ashdod | State Cup |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Holon Yermiyahu.
- Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on February 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 5, 2027DimonavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Sderot
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsKfar Saba 1928
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel HaderavsNordia Jerusalem
- Feb 6, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Yavne
- Feb 6, 2027FC JerusalemvsTzeirey Tira