Match

Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 22Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon

Holon YermiyahuMaccabi Ashdod

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).

Holon Yermiyahu win35 %
Draw25 %
Maccabi Ashdod win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holon Yermiyahu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv(away)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-2Liga Alef
Maccabi Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tira(home)0-3Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)1-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 13, 2025Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Apr 25, 2025Holon Yermiyahu 5-3 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Dec 28, 2024Maccabi Ashdod 1-4 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Mar 22, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Jan 10, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 0-3 Maccabi AshdodState Cup
Dec 29, 2023Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu on Dec 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holon Yermiyahu1.31.549/158/15
Maccabi Ashdod2.01.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Maccabi Ashdod21777373528
11Holon Yermiyahu226610303324

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Holon Yermiyahu.
Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on February 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Holon Yermiyahu and Maccabi Ashdod

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