Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Malachi Stadium, Kiryat Malakhi
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645) and Hapoel Herzliya (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-4 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya on Nov 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th in Liga Alef (35 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
- Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Malachi Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsDimona
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Azor
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi YavnevsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 30, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Hadera
- Sep 30, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 30, 2026Tzeirey TiravsFC Jerusalem
- Sep 30, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Marmorek